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Pythagorean Expectation

Win=11+(RARS)2
(RS)Runs Scored
(RA)Runs Allowed

The Pythagorean Expectation in baseball calculator estimates how many games a baseball team "should" have won based on the number of runs they scored and allowed.

INSTRUCTIONS: Enter the following:

  • (RS) Runs Scored 
  • (RA) Runs Allowed

Pythagorean Expectation (PE): The calculator returns the statistic.

The Math / Science

The Pythagorean Expectation is a formula to estimate how many games a baseball team "should" have won based on the number of runs they scored and allowed. Comparing a team's actual and Pythagorean winning percentage can be used to evaluate how lucky that team was (by examining the variation between the two winning percentages). The Pythagorean Expectation formula is: 

Win=11+(RARS)2

where:

  • Win = Number of game that should have been won.
  • RS = number of runs scored (times reached home plate safely)
  • RA = number of runs allowed


Baseball Stats Calculators

Baseball Base Separation:

References

Wikipedia (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pythagorean_expectation and https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baseball_statistics)